以上海市金山区为例的中低太阳能资源地区新型柔性光伏电站的设计与评估

斌 赵(上海金联热电有限公司，中国)

摘要

近年来，新型柔性太阳能电池的发展推动了柔性光伏组件的应用。然而，针对此类组件在中低太阳能资源地区户外应用的光伏电站设计与评估研究仍较为有限，系统性测试尤为缺乏。本研究以上海市金山区金联热电有限公司屋顶柔性光伏电站项目为例，探讨在该类地区部署柔性组件的可行性。利用PVsyst软件，设计并模拟了一个定制化的光伏系统，估算了其首年及25年生命周期内的发电量，并结合试运行期间的实际发电数据，评估电站是否达到预期性能。同时，在晴天和阴雨天气条件下对柔性组件的运行表现进行了分析。模拟结果表明，该并网型柔性光伏电站首年发电量达856.2 MWh，平均系统效率为81.9%；25年累计发电量预计可达19,959.7 MWh。试运行期间，2024年8月的实际发电量比模拟值高出27.4%。在2024年9月9日的晴天，实际输出功率与理论值的平均偏差为5.8%；在9月10日的雨天，偏差为6.04%。上述结果为推广新型柔性光伏电站在中低辐照地区的应用提供了有价值的参考。

关键词

太阳能；新型柔性光伏组件；PVsyst；可行性；发电量

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12345/dlynyqy.v4i3.37209